Autodesk, Inc.
ADSK
Services-Prepackaged Software
Mkt Cap
$44.37BPE
50.77Debt
$2.3BCash
$1.714BEV
$44.96BFCF
$2.205BP/E Ratio
50.77Debt
$2.3BCash
$1.714BEV
$44.96BFCF
$2.205BAutodesk, Inc. provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution for civil engineering, including land development, transportation, and environmental projects; BuildingConnected, a SaaS preconstruction solution; AutoCAD, a software for professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization; AutoCAD LT, a drafting and detailing software; computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software for computer numeric control machining, inspection, and modelling for manufacturing; Fusion 360, a 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering tool; and Industry Collections tools for professionals in architecture, engineering and construction, product design and manufacturing, and media and entertainment collection industries. It also provides Inventor tools for 3D mechanical design, simulation, analysis, tooling, visualization, and documentation; Vault, a data management software to manage data in one central location, accelerate design processes, and streamline internal/external collaboration; Maya and 3ds Max software products that offer 3D modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing solutions; and ShotGrid, a cloud-based software for review and production tracking in the media and entertainment industry. It sells its products and services to customers directly, as well as through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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QTWO
DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Autodesk, Inc.
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $2.205B | $2.785B | $3.453B | $4.198B | $5.004B | $5.848B | $6.694B | $7.505B | $8.235B | $8.842B | $9.284B | $92.84B |
| DCF | $2.422B | $2.611B | $2.76B | $2.861B | $2.907B | $2.894B | $2.821B | $2.692B | $2.514B | $2.295B | $22.95B | |
| Value | $49.73B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 40%
Earnings Stability 1.4%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 01-2015 | 01-2016 | 01-2017 | 01-2018 | 01-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 01-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 3.3% | -13% | -29% | -28% | -3.1% | 6.6% | 32% | 11% | 16% | 17% |
| ROA | 2.5% | 0.024% | -10% | -12% | -0.53% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10% | 11% |
| ROE | 3.7% | -20% | -79% | 220% | 38% | -150% | 130% | 59% | 72% | 72% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +5.92%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +8.25%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +3.16%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +4.01%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +60.18%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -11.65%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 01-2015 | 01-2016 | 01-2017 | 01-2018 | 01-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 01-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | - | - | - | - | - | 1.87 | 1.23 | 2.03 | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| Debt Equity | 0.34 | 0.92 | 2.03 | -6.20 | -9.90 | -18.33 | 1.71 | 3.53 | 2.01 | 1.91 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.04.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.14.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 01-2016 | 01-2018 | 01-2020 | 01-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 10% | 19% | 15% | 14% | 2.6% |
| Net Income | - | - | 57% | 66% | 20% |
| Stockholders Equity | -4.8% | - | - | 35% | 5.2% |
| FCF | - | - | 14% | 38% | -89% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +19.47%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.63%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +19.67%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +5.2%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -89.38%.