Services-Prepackaged Software
ACI Worldwide, Inc., a software company, develops, markets, installs, and supports a range of software products and solutions for facilitating digital payments in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Banks, Merchants, and Billers. The company offers ACI Acquiring, a merchant management system to deliver digital innovation, handle new payment methods, and maximize margins; ACI Issuing, a digital payment issuing solution for new payment offering and enable channels, services, endpoints, and integrations from a single cloud-based or on-premises solution; and ACI Enterprise Payments Platform that provides payment processing and orchestration capabilities for digital payments. It also provides ACI Low Value Real-Time Payments, a platform for processing real-time payments; and ACI High Value Real-Time Payments, a payments engine that offers multi-bank, multi-currency, 24x7 payment processing, and SWIFT messaging. In addition, the company offers ACI Omni Commerce, a scalable, omni-channel payment processing platform; ACI Secure eCommerce solution; ACI Fraud Management, a real-time approach to fraud management; and ACI Speedpay, an integrated suite of digital billing, payment, disbursement, and communication services. The company offers electronic bill presentment and payment services to consumer finance, insurance, healthcare, higher education, utility, government, and mortgage sectors; implementation services, include product installations and configurations, and custom software modifications; and business and technical consultancy, on-site support, product education, and testing services, as well as distributes or acts as a sales agent for software developed by third parties. It markets its products under the ACI Worldwide brand. The company was formerly known as Transaction Systems Architects, Inc. and changed its name to ACI Worldwide, Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1975 and is based in Coral Gables, Florida.
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Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Aci Worldwide, Inc.
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $241.8M | $256.7M | $272.1M | $288.1M | $304.7M | $321.8M | $339.6M | $357.8M | $376.6M | $395.9M | $415.7M | $4.157B |
DCF | $223.2M | $205.7M | $189.4M | $174.2M | $160M | $146.8M | $134.5M | $123.1M | $112.5M | $102.8M | $1.028B | |
Value | $2.6B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 8.2% | 13% | 0.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 10% | 8.4% | 9.9% |
ROA | 6.4% | 12% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% |
ROE | 13% | 17% | 0.67% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 9.2% | 12% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +7.58%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.73%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +5.58%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.36%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +8.31%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +1.01%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 6.64 | 14.29 | 5.93 | 4.26 | 12.48 | 3.79 | 5.62 | 8.93 | 7.01 | 4.39 |
Debt Equity | 1.58 | 1.12 | 0.93 | 0.67 | 1.26 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.97 | 0.84 | 0.84 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 5.5% | 94% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 5.5% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 4.39.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.14.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.05.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 5.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.53% |
Net Income | -0.91% | 12% | 19% | -15% | -20% |
Stockholders Equity | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 11% | -1.5% |
FCF | 15% | -0.74% | -21% | 23% | -0.74% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.54%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.53%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +12.01%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -19.58%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.79%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.52%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -0.74%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.74%.