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Aaon, Inc.

AAON

Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip

Mkt Cap

$7.138B

PE

40.19

Debt

-

Cash

$9.023M

EV

-

FCF

-

Market Cap

$7.138B

P/E Ratio

40.19

Debt

-

Cash

$9.023M

EV

-

FCF

-
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":44158000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":45728000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":53376000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":54498000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":42572000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":53711000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":79009000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":58758000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":100376000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":177623000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":356322000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":358632000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":383977000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":405232000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":433947000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":469333000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":514551000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":534517000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":888788000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1168518000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.12392723435544255},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.12750674786410582},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.1390083260195272},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.1344859241126071},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.09810414635888715},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.114441132415577},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.15354940520959048},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.10992728014263345},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.11293581821536744},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.15200707220599083}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":233117000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":232854000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":256530000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":296780000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":308197000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":371424000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":449008000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":650180000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":813903000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":941436000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":174059000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":178918000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":205898000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":237226000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":247499000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":290140000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":350865000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":466170000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":560714000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":735224000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.25369558597946673},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.2555807688438279},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.25923515527105656},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.22973029937696543},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.1720087757930335},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.18512097608051287},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.22518347512576062},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.12604414698500546},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.17901461351063108},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.2415903180527295}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.29275428218448246},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.3063679387083752},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.31181928039605505},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.25100074128984434},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.18150403800166776},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.18047029809597656},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.2271117663827816},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.1065135808545326},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.15574460347240396},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.2416457411868677}]}

AAON, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, marketing, and selling air conditioning and heating equipment in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. It offers rooftop units, data center cooling solutions, cleanroom systems, chillers, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air handling units, makeup air units, energy recovery units, condensing units, geothermal/water-source heat pumps, coils, and controls. The company markets and sells its products to retail, manufacturing, educational, lodging, supermarket, data centers, medical and pharmaceutical, and other commercial industries. It sells its products through a network of independent manufacturer representative organizations and internal sales force, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

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In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 12%
Earnings Stability 63%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Net Margin13%14%13%9.8%11%15%11%11%15%15%
ROA31%31%25%18%18%23%11%16%24%24%
ROE26%26%23%17%19%23%13%18%24%24%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +12.35%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.63%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +18.22%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.3%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +18.82%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.66%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Debt FCF----------
Debt Equity----------
MIN
Graham Stability--100%83%100%100%100%100%100%83%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.83.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201612-201812-202012-2022Trend
Revenue17%22%31%31%5%
Net Income19%33%31%77%7.8%
Stockholders Equity20%24%28%31%3%
FCF----1.5%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +21.91%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +5%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +33.07%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +7.82%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +24.33%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +3.01%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.55%.