Air Transportation, Scheduled
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2022, it operated a mainline fleet of 925 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of American Airlines Group Inc.
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -7.72%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -3.02%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +0.25%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -1.91%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -343.51%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +111.17%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 14.49.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 7.94.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -5.31.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +2.82%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.05%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -41.9%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -25.09%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -87.55%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -21.19%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.